Markets are random by nature. We have to look for events where the market will behave in a non random fashion.
Take the stocks which opened with a gap of more than 2%, then wait for 5/15 minutes for the stock to set the opening range. Then, take the trade in the direction which is showing strength.
For analysis purpose, lets start with gap up of more than 2%, does the stock rise? Data tested from 2012.
StockName , Sum of (close-open) %, Sum of abs(close-open)%, No of trades in 4 years
JPASSOCIAT |
-27.32610219 |
186.49 |
49 |
HDIL |
6.918107082 |
112.75 |
35 |
ARVIND |
-15.62888451 |
37.44 |
10 |
ADANIENT |
-5.435449073 |
54.09 |
18 |
HAVELLS |
-21.25835332 |
41.05 |
9 |
MARICO |
-39.96573965 |
59.93 |
21 |
INDIACEM |
-68.85385005 |
124.15 |
37 |
ORIENTBANK |
-42.11056829 |
115.61 |
36 |
AUROPHARMA |
-46.51498804 |
91.83 |
20 |
ABIRLANUVO |
-12.20098535 |
41.41 |
16 |
HINDPETRO |
-22.54552241 |
80.6 |
29 |
LTFH |
-26.20525764 |
86.26 |
35 |
TORNTPHARM |
-65.52778734 |
95.43 |
40 |
BOSCHLTD |
-18.62853516 |
37.35 |
18 |
JISLJALEQS |
-43.31868274 |
101.4 |
28 |
GMRINFRA |
-87.8594496 |
172.09 |
61 |
GAIL |
-12.51424082 |
21.94 |
12 |
JUBLFOOD |
-4.557456022 |
22.45 |
7 |
SRTRANSFIN |
2.299413528 |
46.95 |
15 |
SINTEX |
-23.85124559 |
98.82 |
37 |
SIEMENS |
-15.55014222 |
21.18 |
10 |
SUNPHARMA |
-2.391231081 |
22.7 |
14 |
JUSTDIAL |
-15.71188357 |
50.5 |
14 |
ITC |
2.886965737 |
5.11 |
3 |
APOLLOHOSP |
-37.66990604 |
38.11 |
13 |
POWERGRID |
0 |
0 |
0 |
GRASIM |
11.04174322 |
11.19 |
4 |
INFY |
-2.500189208 |
38.98 |
14 |
IGL |
-13.85018987 |
42.93 |
14 |
RPOWER |
-18.61653415 |
39.83 |
24 |
BHEL |
16.12160525 |
45.63 |
20 |
GODREJCP |
-89.51885313 |
90.26 |
28 |
BEML |
-14.88913373 |
58.07 |
33 |
PNB |
-28.62738614 |
59.73 |
18 |
TATACOMM |
-19.49069376 |
88.32 |
32 |
OIL |
-52.08247373 |
53.01 |
22 |
NIITTECH |
-64.8338293 |
88.24 |
29 |
ALBK |
-13.04923915 |
58.39 |
24 |
IDEA |
-33.27583111 |
47.3 |
17 |
CROMPGREAV |
-49.9852008 |
71.38 |
24 |
IDFCBANK |
-9.65067349 |
9.65 |
7 |
TATACHEM |
-20.10151924 |
25.29 |
13 |
BANKINDIA |
-41.17012134 |
108.86 |
36 |
RCOM |
4.287864937 |
80.79 |
26 |
MCDOWELL_N |
-5.030194248 |
94 |
21 |
JSWENERGY |
-19.23503614 |
149.36 |
40 |
ICICIBANK |
8.120235266 |
39.84 |
26 |
TITAN |
-17.77907956 |
59.17 |
17 |
IBREALEST |
28.64923837 |
197.22 |
52 |
DISHTV |
-7.809799645 |
49.45 |
21 |
RELINFRA |
17.08722569 |
44.91 |
21 |
ACC |
3.485578844 |
3.49 |
2 |
RELCAPITAL |
15.13681549 |
75.17 |
28 |
RELIANCE |
5.448744172 |
25.64 |
13 |
TATAELXSI |
-19.61787874 |
26.67 |
13 |
UPL |
3.918800681 |
5.79 |
4 |
RECLTD |
14.44721147 |
41.51 |
18 |
AXISBANK |
-2.395651934 |
55.77 |
28 |
JETAIRWAYS |
-48.34884996 |
196.7 |
55 |
EICHERMOT |
-74.99507894 |
129.14 |
51 |
JSWSTEEL |
12.25074036 |
20.77 |
7 |
SOUTHBANK |
-95.69516029 |
120.74 |
35 |
ASHOKLEY |
-101.8843838 |
168.37 |
56 |
CADILAHC |
-50.51199764 |
54.84 |
18 |
BANKBARODA |
-6.932646783 |
67.95 |
21 |
BAJFINANCE |
-40.38318483 |
78.94 |
38 |
ZEEL |
-20.52294228 |
30.8 |
11 |
IRB |
-34.8279921 |
91.9 |
37 |
TECHM |
-45.58843225 |
69.61 |
18 |
ASIANPAINT |
-5.630510755 |
5.63 |
3 |
WOCKPHARMA |
-72.70258187 |
154.88 |
56 |
SBIN |
-13.41877562 |
57 |
23 |
COLPAL |
-44.48511644 |
46.1 |
14 |
LUPIN |
-26.44000687 |
29.67 |
11 |
GODREJIND |
-37.92813947 |
70.67 |
19 |
ADANIPORTS |
-20.03265154 |
69.62 |
21 |
ANDHRABANK |
-17.37331468 |
75.96 |
25 |
ULTRACEMCO |
-8.093124692 |
31.9 |
13 |
IBULHSGFIN |
3.853731371 |
41.68 |
13 |
AMBUJACEM |
7.75268395 |
8.37 |
5 |
NCC |
-92.74904606 |
310.37 |
76 |
FEDERALBNK |
-61.58029764 |
92.88 |
37 |
TATAMTRDVR |
-13.29062406 |
53.31 |
28 |
AJANTPHARM |
-50.48423589 |
66.21 |
32 |
HINDUNILVR |
-4.30677195 |
27.83 |
7 |
BHARTIARTL |
-2.760943506 |
41.24 |
19 |
NTPC |
7.108794797 |
13.48 |
6 |
HEXAWARE |
-0.178899116 |
68.13 |
28 |
CANBK |
-12.01056846 |
87.46 |
28 |
PFC |
2.759165233 |
85.42 |
25 |
CUMMINSIND |
-55.84490326 |
68.18 |
26 |
INFRATEL |
-40.9635048 |
70.71 |
20 |
SRF |
-46.21250814 |
106.32 |
38 |
EXIDEIND |
-21.66887638 |
35.29 |
13 |
TATAGLOBAL |
-25.69903946 |
52.64 |
17 |
TATAPOWER |
-13.91952694 |
34.76 |
17 |
WIPRO |
-5.162923704 |
16.2 |
10 |
LT |
18.5049291 |
26.18 |
13 |
HCLTECH |
-16.32849032 |
21.52 |
10 |
DABUR |
-31.31283597 |
38.9 |
11 |
SYNDIBANK |
-34.42217561 |
88.31 |
31 |
CASTROLIND |
3.103825563 |
10.8 |
2 |
SUNTV |
-7.577627704 |
62.85 |
20 |
TCS |
-5.647374233 |
24.04 |
12 |
COALINDIA |
-17.60770549 |
23.05 |
10 |
YESBANK |
19.03962631 |
109.24 |
35 |
KOTAKBANK |
-16.81416131 |
36.62 |
16 |
DLF |
51.90427002 |
110.47 |
40 |
BEL |
-44.58298807 |
92.13 |
29 |
CESC |
-16.95623089 |
35.82 |
15 |
TORNTPOWER |
-49.25612942 |
90.26 |
30 |
KPIT |
-32.02608543 |
93.03 |
37 |
UNIONBANK |
-34.17727551 |
87.42 |
25 |
NMDC |
-6.231011045 |
39.84 |
17 |
GRANULES |
-75.89438033 |
201.04 |
55 |
MM |
-6.308605213 |
11.57 |
6 |
CIPLA |
-11.26761811 |
15.09 |
9 |
OFSS |
-22.42548012 |
30.39 |
16 |
PTC |
-6.489572282 |
80.5 |
32 |
HDFC |
-12.51945461 |
27.48 |
11 |
CEATLTD |
-45.521239 |
69.88 |
25 |
PETRONET |
-20.16833721 |
23.07 |
11 |
GLENMARK |
-26.93497808 |
56.51 |
19 |
IDBI |
-43.48651127 |
77.21 |
30 |
KSCL |
-131.629617 |
209.67 |
79 |
ICIL |
-731.3678047 |
1110.89 |
246 |
INDUSINDBK |
-44.40555381 |
75.31 |
27 |
CAIRN |
-21.22236281 |
57.47 |
22 |
BIOCON |
-12.68110054 |
23.31 |
11 |
LICHSGFIN |
-5.347311302 |
52.09 |
21 |
BHARATFORG |
-17.4231582 |
46.18 |
20 |
MCLEODRUSS |
-62.04295853 |
89.38 |
23 |
HINDALCO |
-16.38579565 |
47.39 |
24 |
CONCOR |
-95.64042868 |
117.35 |
40 |
MARUTI |
-1.171339638 |
23.72 |
8 |
IOC |
-49.4409745 |
61.85 |
22 |
PCJEWELLER |
-82.93014342 |
175.21 |
47 |
DCBBANK |
3.362272377 |
44.64 |
19 |
BRITANNIA |
-21.58679726 |
45.79 |
19 |
PIDILITIND |
-43.36076451 |
50.15 |
22 |
HEROMOTOCO |
-20.27581526 |
20.28 |
8 |
PAGEIND |
-84.75346482 |
97.97 |
39 |
NHPC |
-74.29842794 |
98.13 |
27 |
HDFCBANK |
-11.14099193 |
24.33 |
10 |
TATAMOTORS |
19.41665744 |
42.91 |
29 |
BATAINDIA |
-5.230801989 |
12.75 |
6 |
CENTURYTEX |
1.969653423 |
36.08 |
18 |
VEDL |
3.633897425 |
49 |
16 |
APOLLOTYRE |
-50.73160818 |
59.29 |
20 |
DRREDDY |
-8.280705509 |
10.73 |
6 |
TATASTEEL |
-1.797890652 |
52.01 |
22 |
MRF |
-21.95918899 |
26.92 |
13 |
DHFL |
21.59590695 |
52.31 |
13 |
AMARAJABAT |
-4.439943169 |
60.91 |
18 |
ONGC |
3.323130734 |
47.41 |
21 |
MOTHERSUMI |
-43.79802951 |
70.95 |
32 |
KTKBANK |
-43.05275324 |
82.55 |
35 |
HINDZINC |
-54.70236533 |
68.74 |
23 |
STAR |
-70.41790671 |
80.6 |
21 |
ADANIPOWER |
-56.99759995 |
113.94 |
45 |
BAJAJ_AUTO |
-10.34207351 |
14.3 |
7 |
SAIL |
1.993593884 |
47.59 |
22 |
TV18BRDCST |
-61.1422626 |
226.33 |
55 |
BPCL |
2.311829919 |
54.47 |
21 |
MINDTREE |
-45.91844294 |
64.12 |
28 |
DIVISLAB |
-24.82082949 |
45.18 |
15 |
JINDALSTEL |
-23.03375172 |
95.34 |
30 |
UBL |
-51.5736475 |
58.57 |
18 |
VOLTAS |
-22.43468784 |
76.88 |
23 |
MMFIN |
-64.98440681 |
93.73 |
30 |
BHARATFIN |
0 |
0 |
0 |
TVSMOTOR |
-140.0207785 |
183.65 |
50 |
IFCI |
-23.62337616 |
104.79 |
37 |
IDFC |
-3.258244886 |
81.15 |
27 |
Total trades : 4255
Total sum of % change(2nd column) : -5031%. Gaps getting filled.
Total sum of abs change : 12570.
2.95% change per trade.
The results look, stocks seem to be trending after a gap up.
Let's take a look from the gap down of more than 2%.
StockName, sum of % Change open -close, Sum of absolute % change open-close, no of trades
JPASSOCIAT |
16.2 |
138.15 |
39 |
HDIL |
-2.96 |
161.84 |
36 |
ARVIND |
-6.44 |
29.34 |
12 |
ADANIENT |
72.16 |
143.45 |
17 |
HAVELLS |
-18.38 |
36.78 |
10 |
MARICO |
-11.42 |
18.29 |
10 |
INDIACEM |
-64.62 |
115.8 |
32 |
ORIENTBANK |
-2.53 |
66.61 |
25 |
AUROPHARMA |
-23.99 |
55.85 |
19 |
ABIRLANUVO |
-11.69 |
51.2 |
13 |
HINDPETRO |
-30.11 |
71.26 |
14.00 |
LTFH |
-13.61 |
36.1 |
13 |
TORNTPHARM |
-57.08 |
90.08 |
28 |
BOSCHLTD |
-6.75 |
12.81 |
5.00 |
JISLJALEQS |
-12.28 |
81.72 |
24.00 |
GMRINFRA |
-39.73 |
114.21 |
39 |
GAIL |
-7.41 |
10.16 |
8 |
JUBLFOOD |
-24.72 |
35.6 |
10 |
SRTRANSFIN |
-32.07 |
75.41 |
19 |
SINTEX |
-12.97 |
82.87 |
23 |
SIEMENS |
-4.12 |
7.48 |
4 |
SUNPHARMA |
-5.05 |
28.73 |
13.00 |
JUSTDIAL |
-1.02 |
43.47 |
14 |
ITC |
-3.41 |
3.41 |
2 |
APOLLOHOSP |
-7.38 |
18.79 |
7 |
POWERGRID |
-0.35 |
16.51 |
4.00 |
GRASIM |
-1.84 |
7.53 |
3 |
INFY |
30.27 |
41.48 |
13 |
IGL |
19.36 |
29.16 |
4 |
RPOWER |
15.21 |
28.12 |
9 |
BHEL |
12.52 |
49.57 |
13 |
GODREJCP |
-73.45 |
73.6 |
12 |
BEML |
-25.02 |
66.62 |
29.00 |
PNB |
-5.9 |
44.52 |
15 |
TATACOMM |
-15.53 |
39.11 |
12 |
OIL |
-4.99 |
26.61 |
13 |
NIITTECH |
-55.04 |
80.99 |
33 |
ALBK |
-28.98 |
52.1 |
15 |
IDEA |
-50.62 |
63.75 |
20 |
CROMPGREAV |
-33.62 |
69.57 |
20 |
IDFCBANK |
7.53 |
7.53 |
3 |
TATACHEM |
-4.15 |
26.9 |
10 |
BANKINDIA |
11.92 |
62.87 |
22 |
RCOM |
-16.65 |
71.49 |
17 |
MCDOWELL_N |
-73.52 |
94.45 |
18 |
JSWENERGY |
-63.17 |
110.63 |
32.00 |
ICICIBANK |
5.25 |
22.88 |
12 |
TITAN |
-17.36 |
50.7 |
13 |
IBREALEST |
3.02 |
101.82 |
28 |
DISHTV |
-55.98 |
82.05 |
23 |
RELINFRA |
3.78 |
56.11 |
12 |
ACC |
-17.73 |
17.73 |
7 |
RELCAPITAL |
-10.72 |
54.21 |
14.00 |
RELIANCE |
5.25 |
9.67 |
4 |
TATAELXSI |
-45.87 |
83.96 |
21.00 |
UPL |
12.34 |
18.19 |
7.00 |
RECLTD |
5.25 |
48.94 |
16 |
AXISBANK |
16.94 |
52.21 |
19 |
JETAIRWAYS |
-49.46 |
116.18 |
31 |
EICHERMOT |
-16.46 |
43.68 |
16 |
JSWSTEEL |
-21.74 |
35.55 |
9.00 |
SOUTHBANK |
-51.65 |
52.89 |
14.00 |
ASHOKLEY |
-113.38 |
139.88 |
31 |
CADILAHC |
-14.19 |
28.52 |
12 |
BANKBARODA |
-19.2 |
33.22 |
14 |
BAJFINANCE |
-45.48 |
65.37 |
20 |
ZEEL |
-23.64 |
31.22 |
12 |
IRB |
-7.85 |
88.96 |
25 |
TECHM |
-17.76 |
47.19 |
16 |
ASIANPAINT |
7.40 |
8.27 |
6 |
WOCKPHARMA |
-96.04 |
160.31 |
51 |
SBIN |
-16.88 |
39.62 |
14 |
COLPAL |
-30.54 |
32.97 |
10 |
LUPIN |
-34.55 |
39.57 |
11 |
GODREJIND |
-27.51 |
51.15 |
10.00 |
ADANIPORTS |
-38.8 |
56.6 |
17 |
ANDHRABANK |
-9.44 |
50.66 |
15 |
ULTRACEMCO |
-40.18 |
42.18 |
12 |
IBULHSGFIN |
-6.78 |
53.94 |
21.00 |
AMBUJACEM |
-14.61 |
21.71 |
11 |
NCC |
-18.15 |
133.37 |
35 |
FEDERALBNK |
-9.07 |
42.56 |
21 |
TATAMTRDVR |
-19.13 |
64.98 |
21 |
AJANTPHARM |
-14.14 |
60.45 |
18 |
HINDUNILVR |
-4.81 |
5.29 |
3.00 |
BHARTIARTL |
-17.97 |
34.59 |
10 |
NTPC |
17.55 |
20.71 |
5 |
HEXAWARE |
-38.39 |
45.86 |
15 |
CANBK |
8.85 |
72.95 |
23 |
PFC |
-5.41 |
32.09 |
14 |
CUMMINSIND |
-26.23 |
26.23 |
6 |
INFRATEL |
-130.12 |
164.1 |
43 |
SRF |
-31.1 |
92.87 |
29 |
EXIDEIND |
-31.19 |
37.67 |
13.00 |
TATAGLOBAL |
-38.24 |
39.55 |
11 |
TATAPOWER |
-24.2 |
42.94 |
13 |
WIPRO |
8.29 |
31.26 |
15 |
LT |
1.18 |
21.3 |
9 |
HCLTECH |
-2.82 |
30.99 |
15.00 |
DABUR |
-7.7 |
18.26 |
9 |
SYNDIBANK |
-3.3 |
58.34 |
20 |
CASTROLIND |
3.89 |
7.48 |
2 |
SUNTV |
7.93 |
95.81 |
20 |
TCS |
7.06 |
15.86 |
10 |
COALINDIA |
-7.23 |
18.93 |
12.00 |
YESBANK |
20.01 |
65.57 |
17 |
KOTAKBANK |
3.41 |
17.27 |
10.00 |
DLF |
22.64 |
130.85 |
33 |
BEL |
-33 |
58.36 |
20 |
CESC |
9.72 |
35.97 |
11.00 |
TORNTPOWER |
-12.88 |
44.98 |
13 |
KPIT |
-41.88 |
128.09 |
20 |
UNIONBANK |
-7.25 |
91.61 |
26 |
NMDC |
-15.32 |
34.51 |
18 |
GRANULES |
-47.62 |
76.22 |
17 |
MM |
-5.85 |
19.4 |
9 |
CIPLA |
10.63 |
10.63 |
3.00 |
OFSS |
-13.94 |
37.18 |
14 |
PTC |
-48.77 |
76.29 |
21.00 |
HDFC |
2.82 |
9.48 |
6 |
CEATLTD |
-127.23 |
149.91 |
40.00 |
PETRONET |
-17.09 |
28.58 |
13.00 |
GLENMARK |
-26.91 |
35.52 |
15 |
IDBI |
-21.2 |
61.05 |
17 |
KSCL |
-103.22 |
119.09 |
31 |
ICIL |
-843.02 |
952.07 |
212 |
INDUSINDBK |
3.56 |
32.62 |
11 |
CAIRN |
-1.74 |
55.87 |
20.00 |
BIOCON |
-15.66 |
30.77 |
7 |
LICHSGFIN |
-10.1 |
32.65 |
9 |
BHARATFORG |
-12.17 |
23.03 |
11 |
MCLEODRUSS |
-34.88 |
57.19 |
12 |
HINDALCO |
-26.71 |
55.35 |
22 |
CONCOR |
-30.21 |
50.34 |
21 |
MARUTI |
3.93 |
20.72 |
9.00 |
IOC |
-33.44 |
46.33 |
17.00 |
PCJEWELLER |
-9.99 |
57.56 |
25 |
DCBBANK |
16.39 |
28.83 |
6 |
BRITANNIA |
-47.58 |
49.86 |
8 |
PIDILITIND |
-12.76 |
19.57 |
11.00 |
HEROMOTOCO |
-8.35 |
11.47 |
6 |
PAGEIND |
-31.62 |
48.33 |
22.00 |
NHPC |
-54.90 |
56.13 |
10.00 |
HDFCBANK |
4.90 |
5.68 |
3 |
TATAMOTORS |
0.30 |
58.11 |
21.00 |
BATAINDIA |
-28.16 |
49.27 |
20 |
CENTURYTEX |
-17.09 |
53.88 |
16 |
VEDL |
9.2 |
67.7 |
14 |
APOLLOTYRE |
10.25 |
74.29 |
14 |
DRREDDY |
-6.25 |
8.79 |
5 |
TATASTEEL |
-3.53 |
46.96 |
14.00 |
MRF |
-12.71 |
16.04 |
6 |
DHFL |
-2.34 |
65.91 |
19.00 |
AMARAJABAT |
-62.64 |
76.35 |
17 |
ONGC |
-0.02 |
30.35 |
15 |
MOTHERSUMI |
-54.38 |
92.23 |
24 |
KTKBANK |
-39.68 |
76.6 |
16 |
HINDZINC |
-32.86 |
32.86 |
15 |
STAR |
-61.71 |
96.66 |
19 |
ADANIPOWER |
8.28 |
67.00 |
21.00 |
BAJAJ_AUTO |
4.15 |
9.59 |
5 |
SAIL |
-6.84 |
40.34 |
13.00 |
TV18BRDCST |
-38.97 |
76.3 |
29 |
BPCL |
-0.03 |
27.74 |
11 |
MINDTREE |
-23.77 |
41.19 |
14 |
DIVISLAB |
-19.01 |
19.01 |
6 |
JINDALSTEL |
-15.41 |
127.8 |
31 |
UBL |
-12.96 |
48.88 |
15 |
VOLTAS |
-45.61 |
71.98 |
24 |
MMFIN |
-30.35 |
49.92 |
14 |
BHARATFIN |
0.00 |
0 |
0 |
TVSMOTOR |
-71.71 |
80.62 |
28 |
IFCI |
-96.71 |
167.07 |
27 |
IDFC |
20.68 |
69.01 |
16 |
In gap down, movement is good.
Total trades : 2984.
Total sum of open -close % (2nd column): -4069. => Gaps filled.
Sum of absolute change(3rd column) : 10252.
It shows a movement of 3.43% per trade.
The above also shows gaps are often filled. Now, further study needs to be done on the Opening range breakout on the stocks with a gap.